Summer Conflagrations
This is a quick turn-in to the literally burning issue of out times namely, what is happening either to reduce or to accelerate the rate of movement towards World War Three in the epic conflict between the decaying empires of the collective West and the emerging multipolar order that is centered on the BRICS and whose side is currently being fought mainly by Russia against NATO over Ukraine.
Politically it is of considerable interest that Donald Trump has recently acknowledged that the proximate cause of this conflict is NATO’s reckless encroachment on Russian borders. Trump has also indicated that he disagrees with Macron and what I like to call the French President’s “macroons” -those unfortunates who are being sent as “volunteers” to Odessa and Kharkiv. Their purpose I believe is to die so that Macron can then induce more direct US involvement in the war. Well, it seems that a Trump administration is not going to fall for that trick and Europe will have pay for such games all by itself.
But by November it may be too late anyway and we may all be dead. What does seem possible however is that Biden and his troglodytes will keep the war close to boiling point for a few more months and that Trump in power will then just leave it to Europe while Trump concentrates on China.
But in the meantime in the Middle East, Netanyahu -whose personal psychiatrist has reportedly committed suicide because he cannot fathom the man’s absurd contradictions and has been personally abused by him - has readied the gunpowder trails in his persistence with the genocide in Gaza and his preparation for the invasion of southern Lebanon (for which, shockingly, he has the ‘full support’ of the Biden White House; they don’t want no stinking international law). Neither of these catastrophes will be waiting until November.
Invasion of Lebanon must draw in Iran and the threat to Iran must draw in Russia. If there is good news it is that the US cannot win on a single front, let alone the two that have now opened up (Ukraine plus Middle East) or the three that the unelected neocon fascist cabal has nurtured (Ukraine, Middle East, and Taiwan).
The US has depleted its weapons stocks to dangerously low levels, as Lt Col Wilkerson told Judge Napolitano last Friday. For example the US and the world is running out of Patriot interceptors; the US and European production of 120mm and 155mm shells runs well behind Russian; the US is down to about five usable aircraft carriers. Right now. the US is placing a lot of weight on the F16s for the war in Ukraine (which, like ATACMS missiles, are essentially 1970s technology); while Russia is betting on its new FAB 3000 guided bombs (good among other things for bombing bridges over the Dnieper) and S500 air defense systems (good for protection of Crimea and Kerch bridge).
NAT0 is in a moment of precarious transition of leadership from Norwegian Wood (Stoltenberg) to Dutch Cheddar (Rutte) amidst forthcoming elections in the UK and in France. In the UK, influential third party challenger Farage, like Trump, is openly questioning the legitimacy of the war. Soppy Sunak will enjoy the re-emerging scandal of the Skripals in the context of the Dawn Sturgess claim against the British government and of the absurd anti-Russian “novichok” fairy tale developed under Boris Johnson which, like the US RussiaGate hoax, have primed the path for world war on the basis of outrageous disinformation campaigns orchestrated by western intelligence with the eager support of pliant and bought-out mainstream media.
In France the likely election victory of Le Pen may kick out Macron’s Presidency or at least set limits to Macron’s arrogance and vanity. Elsewhere in Europe, the Serbian president backed, in effect, by Hungary, is warning of the imminence of World War Three. I believe that Italy’s Meloni has no real appetite for the continuation of this farce - a farce perpetrated by the globalists who want to see an EU that can raise its own army and money and dominate ever more completely the (un) sovereign, western “democracies” by an essentially bureaucratic liberal authoritarian nightmare: the EU-NATO colossus.
On the battlefields, Russia continues to have a challenging time in Lyptsi and Vovchansk, but appears, in the absence of anything very dramatic, to be taking more meaningful steps in the Toretsk, Siversk, Chasiv Yar and Avdiivka areas.
There are continuing indications of a second major Ukrainian counteroffensive in the northern borderland area whose ultimate target would be Russian Belgorod, in Zapporizhzhia (where the ultimate target would be to seize back the ZNPP), in Robotyne (to advance eventually on Topmak, Mariupol and Azov) and to mess with Russia in Kherson close to the Dnieper estuary which I suspect is under defended.