Critically Linking the NATO-Russia War (30)

May 29, 2022

Where are we Now?

Still a long way from intelligent coverage in mainstream media, that’s for sure. Yes, Russia is looking stronger in the Donbass, and there is no evident sign of a meaningful resolution to that problem for Kiev in the immediate few days. It is clearly a mercurial situation. Just as a few days ago it seemed things were looking rather bleak for Russia, now some analysts run the danger of being overly impressed by Russian advances. One source puts it down to a change of strategy from trying to encircle the entirety of Ukraine’s forces in the Donbass to just encircling individual cities. Perhaps.

It does seem that a logical a next step for a more robust Russia is to take Odessa. Why are there civilians still in Odessa? Because they are being kept there as human shields? Because Ukraine cannot afford to get them out? Because they want to stay for as long as possible? Seizure of Odessa provides greater protection for Russia’s hold on Crimea, and extends its control of the Black Sea, obviously.

If Ukrainian troops are being killed at the rate claimed by Kiev then that would not auger well for Kiev’s ability to assemble the fighting force it would need to protect Odessa. A factor, surely, behind Kiev’s insistent demand for the west to supply longer-range missiles, which the west will probably provide. Bearing in mind that Biden’s claims (who really knows where all this money ends up?) to be gifting Ukraine with a package that is equivalent to Russia’s entire military expenditure for a year , the pressure on Russia will be to extend its own shelling back on to Kiev and Lviv, an escalation that in turn extends the conflict back to a full-Ukraine issue rather than a Donbass issue. This would also give Russia a greater opportunity to seize the weapons that the west has been sending to Kiev.

As I have argued previously the massive expenditure on weapons is a great boon for US arms manufacturers whether Kiev wins or loses. If the war can be kept going, so far as the West is concerned, then the more likely it is that Russia will be weakened, a prime goal not simply in terms of the West’s response to February 24, but in terms of its long-established plans for global dominance, as helpfully set out in the Wolfowitz doctrine of 1992, the Bush doctrine of 2002 and the G8-commissioned RAND report of 2019. The West is nothing if not transparent in this respect, and western mainstream media that insist on ignoring this reality are doing their readers a very grave disservice, at best, and are traitorous at worst in the case of western European nations whose people are already suffering the consequences in terms of energy dependency, inflation, growing wealth inequality and insufficient resolve in the face of climate change. The USA is not far behind.

We have entered the downhill slope of waiting to see who can suffer longest. Russia is good at this game. Its president enjoys 80% popularity, which would be a wet dream for either Biden, Trump or Johnson. Current victories will likely boost that popularity further. Western media are incapable of looking at Russia through eyes other than Washington’s or the small proportion of Russia’s educated, wealthy middle and oligarchic class who project on to the West illusions fed them by Hollywood and western prestige media in whom they place far too much trust.

Meantime, UK looks like it is in a dangerous economic mess, exacerbated by the unparalleled stupidity of Brexit which blew up 60 years of European unity - a magnificent historical achievement by any standard - and that has not yet even earned it any notable elevation in useful-poodle status in the eyes of Washington. Europe’s greatest powers, Germany, France and Italy are all rightly showing signs of nervousness over the continuation of the Ukraine crisis as worldwide but are incapable of dreaming up viable solutions. Despite mainstream media coverage, it is every day more obvious that we are paying an enormous price - for no benefit to anyone other than MICIMATT - in support of a non-democratic “democracy” which clearly has had no sovereignty since 2014, amounting to a gigantic scam, enormous waste and mind-blowing NATO duplicity. Finnish and Swedish elites will come to regret their foolishness in bending to the will of a small group of neoconservatives, whose claims to representativeness, while very weak, exercise disproportionate political influence throughout the west, presumably because their interests coincide with those of the MICIMATT and the plutocracy.

Links to follow shortly: please come back!